Wednesday, September 9, 2015

Bihar Election is Announced: Who will win ? 59

The election to the Bihar assembly is announced by the Election commission. The disconcerting part of this election is that it will drag on for over a month and that in my view is not how an election is to be conducted. the EC thus has done a singular disservice to the voter by dragging on the election in a protracted manner.

This is however a prestigious election and the Modi government's reputation is  at stake. The happy news for Modi and teh BJp is that the opponents a hotch potch alliance of Nitesh kumar and Lalu Yadav have a string of criminal cases against the RJD leader Lalu Yadav and he is already sentenced to Jail for 3 years.

Thus in my view this hotchpotch alliance between 2 men Nitish and Lalu, who were daggers drawn for 3 decades  is only a marriage of convenience and one has to just watch and realize that the main thing is the distrust between the two. The BJP is no better, but it is a cohesive force and there is no baggage of leader sentenced to a jail term

Bihar is a caste cauldron and most voting is on  caste basis. This is the bane of Bihar. But despite this teh NDA headed by the BJP is likely to scrape through.. Probably a simple majority is on the cards and I am fraid Nitish has chosen the wrong horse and is likely to be defeated.

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