India -Pakistan Clash is inevitable * 67

Pakistan Army is bristling at their failures in all their wars with India. Starting with the 1947-48 war when the Tribal soldiers from the North of Kashmir aided by the Pakistan army failed to capture the valley to the 1998 Kargil war when again the Pakistan army failed to do anything significant to the 1971 war when the Pak army entered the record books as the only army in Asia to have lost half the nation, the Pakistan army has been thirsting for revenge.

This is the genesis of the Kashmir problem as a humiliated Pakistan army has been unable to match India. They have turned to terrorism with a plan to bleed India with a 100 cuts. Unfortunately for the Pakistan army this ploy also has failed and there is now a sense of desperation in the Pakistan army. Perhaps the generals don’t know what to do next. They have tried terrorist acts like the Mumbai attacks but these have led nowhere. The Generals who have never won a war are now thinking how they can redeem the successive defeats including the surrender of 100,000 Pakistan soldiers during the 1971 war.

There is a chance that Pakistan will provoke another round of hostilities. Pakistan is having nuclear weapons, but I don’t that they will play a significant role as Pakistan is 1/5th the size of India and in any nuclear conflagration, Pakistan will simply cease to exist. The Generals ruling in Rawalpindi are aware of this harsh fact. What next then?

The Pakistan army will certainly try for a last fling to win Kashmir. But again Kashmir is small point as the aim is to have parity with India and defeat India. This is not easy as India is the 8th largest economy in the world and much advanced than Pakistan. Secondly Pakistan is also facing an Islamic Wahhabi insurrection in its backyard. This is the real danger to Pakistan, yet the Pakistan generals have not recognized the threat blinded by hatred towards India. The entire North West of Pakistan is dominated by these Wahhabi groups who want the Sharia enforced and Pakistan state to be dismantled and made part of an Islamic caliphate. Despite the lurking danger, the pathological hatred of India may well propel another round of battle and that will perhaps lead to the complete breakup of Pakistan as Sind and Baluchistan may well break away like Bangladesh and the generals of the Pak army may just twiddle their thumbs.